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After the non-farm payroll data release, the probability of a Fed rate cut in May has continued to rise to 43.3%.

2025-04-04 20:46

BlockBeats News, April 4th, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in May is 43.3%, an increase from the pre-nonfarm payroll data release of 39.9%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 56.7%.


The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged until June is 0, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 52.1%, the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 44.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 75 basis point rate cut is 3.5%.

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