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Arthur Hayes: If the Bond Volatility Index surpasses 140, it will force the Fed to "open the floodgates."

2025-04-07 08:58

BlockBeats News, April 7th, Arthur Hayes announced on social media that if anyone wants to predict when the Federal Reserve will back down and start the money printer, they should keep an eye on the Bond Volatility Index (MOVE Index). The higher this index rises, the more likely institutions engaging in leveraged trades on government or corporate bonds are to be forced to sell off due to increased margin requirements, and these are precisely the two markets where the Federal Reserve will fight tooth and nail to support. When the MOVE Index surpasses 140 (currently at 127), it will present an opportunity for market riches brought about by the Federal Reserve's liquidity injection after a market crash.

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