Why DeFi and AI Are Sparking This Bull Market

24-11-11 12:03
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Original Article Title: Crypto Convergence: How Closing the Exponential Gap in Finance will Upgrade Our World
Original Article Author: Rich Beeman, Medium
Original Article Translation: zhouzhou, BlockBeats


Editor's Note: This article reveals the dawn of a new financial era: the convergence of cryptocurrency, DeFi, AI, and social media is sweeping through traditional finance, driving a massive transformation. With assets moving on-chain, wealth transfer, and the rise of a new generation of investors, the global financial order is gradually being disrupted. While the path to reform is challenging, the opportunity is unprecedented—those who dare to explore will stand at the forefront of this wealth explosion, shaping the future.


The following is the original content (slightly restructured for readability):


Arguably the hottest topic in corporate finance today is the "legend simmered slowly over a low fire," a story that began in 2020 when Michael Saylor made a highly risky decision to completely pivot his publicly traded company MicroStrategy in a new direction. At that time, his "Bitcoin strategy" was seen by most peers as a ludicrous move.


Several years later, this so-called "Bitcoin strategy"—essentially leveraging to buy and hold this mainstream cryptocurrency—has delivered remarkable results. Today, as Bitcoin aims for new highs, MicroStrategy has outperformed all stocks in the S&P 500 since implementing this strategy, even surpassing the hotly anticipated 2024 stock of NVIDIA.


Undeniably, Bitcoin is steadily maturing, increasingly seen as transcending mere high-risk assets, while the overall landscape of the cryptocurrency industry is also expanding.


Top crypto venture capital firm a16z shared some impressive data in their latest "Crypto Industry Report." They estimated that as of September 2024, there were 220 million active blockchain addresses, triple the number at the end of 2023. Global cryptocurrency activity and usage have reached historic highs, with about 617 million people holding cryptocurrency, representing over 12% of the global population aged 18 and above. Additionally, they delve into why cryptocurrency has become a key political issue in the upcoming U.S. election.


More and more countries like Bhutan, Argentina, and El Salvador are taking bold steps to adopt Bitcoin as a reserve currency and commit national resources to mining. Currently, multiple countries are studying their Bitcoin strategies and proposing frameworks to support digital asset innovation, with even the U.S. seeing increasing bipartisan calls to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.


Meanwhile, "Bitcoin Strategy" is gradually gaining attention in the traditional financial world, while the recent crypto space has been buzzing about another topic. A Solana-based new on-chain MEME coin named Goatseus Maximus has quickly risen to prominence, with its market capitalization soaring to $900 million in just one week. Behind this success is an AI agent driving meme-based propagation and social influence on Platform X, fueling the market effect of speculative trading.


This seemingly peculiar success story actually showcases how AI-driven narratives, DeFi liquidity, and social influence impact speculative markets. What is even more astonishing is that this allows us to catch a glimpse of a brand new frontier where finance, technology, and culture seamlessly merge into a future where unique "superpowers" are achieved through digital assets.


However, from these data and headlines, we can clearly see a broader cryptocurrency revolution unfolding—the global financial system is undergoing an unprecedented transformation.


In an interview, Saylor stated, "The world is being reshaped, and finance is undergoing a digital transformation." While Saylor and many others still focus on Bitcoin, the world reshaping he refers to encompasses many significant changes that align with the traditional financial system.


In short, the digital transformation of finance goes far beyond the scope of Bitcoin, encompassing various forms of currency and assets, as well as diverse operations relying on advanced programming capabilities. It is for this reason that the cryptocurrency industry has prioritized the development of a significant amount of infrastructure over the past decade, with ambitious developers dedicated to building decentralized protocol networks capable of supporting complex applications and rapid iterations.


Recently, interest and investments from major institutions have further propelled this innovation into new realms. Almost every day, major global financial institutions are taking substantive steps towards integrating digital assets and cryptocurrencies. The speed of these transformations and their widespread impact make it increasingly challenging to fully comprehend the overall picture, especially as the pace of change continues to accelerate. Keeping up with every major development has become nearly impossible, and pinpointing key points in the endless stream of information has become increasingly difficult.


Nevertheless, amidst all this noise, we should be able to see one thing clearly: we are at a tipping point. Cryptocurrency is rapidly entering its large-scale deployment phase and is on the verge of achieving a critical mass that will impact the global financial system. The cryptocurrency industry is maturing, driving the long-brewing financial digitization transformation into the mainstream. However, reshaping the financial system is an extremely complex process, which is why this prelude to transformation has lasted so long.


Currently, multiple forces are gradually aligning, collectively ushering in this turning point. What follows will be a true world-altering super fusion—at least three index-type technologies are colliding head-on with the traditional financial system: DeFi, AI, and SocialFi. These emerging technologies are called "index-type" because they rely on the widespread adoption and application of foundational digital networks, driving accelerating compounding effects.


At a macro level, the improvement in production efficiency has reduced costs through cumulative learning (Wright's Law), driven exponential growth in computational capability (Moore's Law), and increased network participation has brought greater value to all users (Metcalfe's Law). As these networks evolve, new subgroups form, unlocking more practical layers (Reed's Law). These compound effects interact to form a feedback loop of continuous innovation, accelerating along an exponential curve — eventually forming what Ray Kurzweil called the "Law of Accelerating Returns."


In short, all of this illustrates two points:

1. To propel the outdated financial system into the 21st century, numerous factors need to collaborate;

2. The speed of future change will only increase.


Fortunately, driving this convergence and innovation is not only technology but also strong cultural and macro trends such as demographic shifts, institutional adoption, currency devaluation, and global competition — explaining why the overhaul of traditional financial systems has become almost inevitable.


At the core of this massive transformation is what I refer to as the "Index Gap in Finance" — borrowing from Azeem Azhar's concept in his 2021 book "The Exponential Age." This index gap refers to the complex and wide chasm between traditional financial institutions and these emerging technologies. Understanding this gap is the simplest way to grasp the urgent need for an upgrade in the current financial system.



As a Web3 entrepreneur, the experience with cryptocurrency over the past few years has been both exhilarating and bewildering. When re-examining the current financial environment and trying to understand why the financial landscape in recent years has been so chaotic, I gradually clarified the underlying logic behind it all. For those who are attentive and involved in the crypto space, these years have been filled with confusing regulatory environments, contradictory media narratives, and the skepticism of traditional institutions. Not to mention the significant fluctuations in emerging digital assets.


This is precisely the hallmark of the "Index Divide" — the difficulty that traditional systems face in adapting to rapid technological changes. In such a scenario, vested interests in the traditional industry are hindering this process at every turn. Nevertheless, we still struggle to clearly foresee the path ahead. This transformation is particularly challenging as it must advance in the midst of the relentless global market, without fundamentally restructuring the entire financial system.


However, like any major technological revolution, the gap of the exponential age will be rapidly and globally bridged. This process will accelerate in the coming years as technological advancements and cultural trends drive progress and the significant incentives of reshaping the financial world motivate all parties to actively participate. Despite the chaos, this unstoppable process is the "Crypto Convergence" — a transformation that integrates disruptive technologies to build, manage, and create wealth in a completely new way.


It is this very trend that has forced traditional finance to rely on these powerful digital tools for self-evolution in order to stay relevant. Traditional systems can no longer ignore this transformation, as their infrastructure appears weak and incompatible in the face of these new financial realities. History has repeatedly shown that institutions that fail to bridge the innovation gap will be left behind by the times.


Global Inflection Point


From the perspective of millennial investors, there has been little to no substantial innovation in the way financial markets operate in our lives.


Aside from mobile banking and commission-free trading offered by Robinhood, there has been little notable change in digital-native finance. In other words, the TradFi system has largely succeeded in resisting or absorbing any major disruptions from new technologies.


The result is that under this system, wealth inequality and dollar devaluation have reached unprecedented levels. By most measures, the economic situation of most millennials lags behind, while the "baby boomer" generation is the wealthiest in history. As of June 2023, despite comprising only 20% of the total U.S. population, they hold 52% of the country's net worth (Source: Yahoo Finance).


For cryptocurrency, this has meant that the past decade has been largely spent under the cold shoulder of TradFi institutions. Especially with the Biden administration over the past four years, putting the U.S. crypto market in an extremely hostile regulatory environment, implementing strategies such as "Operation Chokehold 2.0" to try to curb the adoption and liquidity of crypto. China's stance has also been hostile, with a complete ban on cryptocurrency holding and mining in 2021.


However, cryptocurrency continues to prove its value proposition, despite various measures taken by traditional institutions, the emerging technology continues to develop and expand unaffectedly. The core believers leading the crypto movement continue to double down, constantly testing new use cases and driving the expansion of key functionalities.


All these top-level contradictions and market indifference have resulted in ordinary people still being unprepared. Most people have not yet realized that we are standing on the edge of this technological convergence, or do not understand the significance of building a faster, more transparent, and globally inclusive financial ecosystem.


In the next decade, both personal and professional finance will be significantly different from the past 50 years. The tide has turned towards crypto, and the events that follow will be determined by the speed of this convergence.


Reducing the index gap in the financial sector requires not only technological advancement but also significant cultural support. This transformation is driven by various profound cultural forces, including institutional involvement, generational shifts, and unprecedented global market competition.


· Generational Shift: Millennial and Gen Z retail investors are more digitally native, skeptical of traditional institutions, and have embraced these emerging financial technologies. They have a higher risk tolerance and view speculative assets from a perspective different from previous generations. Data shows that four out of five millennial millionaires hold cryptocurrency, while only one out of two hundred in traditional portfolios have exposure to Bitcoin. Nearly 60% of new investors report investing in cryptocurrency.


· Institutional Adoption: Banks, asset management firms, and governments are integrating blockchain and crypto-native solutions to remain competitive. As Wall Street and TradFi seek to stay ahead of crypto's disruptive impact, this competition is intensifying. Stablecoins, almost entirely denominated in USD, saw a transaction volume of $85 trillion in the second quarter of 2024, more than double Visa's $39 trillion in the same period. Companies like Microsoft and Tesla are also testing their Bitcoin strategies.


· Global Competition: Countries and companies are recognizing the global nature of crypto and the enormous economic potential of leading in this transformation. Despite banning cryptocurrency a few years ago, China now seems poised to lift the ban. BRICS nations are formulating plans to leverage digital currencies. Dubai has just announced acceptance of cryptocurrency for real estate investment, while many countries, including the US, are advancing crypto-friendly policies. Sovereign Bitcoin mining is also becoming increasingly popular.


· Currency Devaluation: The US has entered an era of fiscal dominance, relying more on government spending to drive the economy. The top 10% of households control 67% of total wealth, while the lower half of the income distribution owns only 2.5%. The devaluation of the dollar has exacerbated inequality. Global debt is approaching $100 trillion, and currency devaluation is becoming a more severe issue as countries struggle to address stubborn inflation caused by increasing money supplies.


These macro trends are driving TradFi institutions to continuously adjust their strategic allocations and future investments, leading to more and more compelling use cases and the emergence of exciting new ventures. In addition to obvious Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, there are ventures like the Texas Stock Exchange (TXSE), expected to launch in 2026, aiming to directly compete with NYSE and NASDAQ.


TXSE has successfully raised $120 million from crypto-supportive companies BlackRock and Citadel, aiming to utilize cutting-edge digital technology to build a brand-new exchange from the ground up. Although specific details have not been disclosed, this new exchange based in Dallas is likely to integrate crypto-native features such as blockchain rails, tokenized assets, and automated market makers, positioning itself as a frontrunner in the new financial landscape.


BlackRock's Head of Digital Assets, Robbie Mitchnick, has stated: Blockchain has the potential to completely transform financial infrastructure. Particularly when combined with some DeFi applications built around tokenized assets... If this vision comes to fruition, we will have a more efficient, accessible, low-cost, and flexible financial system, rather than the traditional financial rails.


It can be imagined that a new stock exchange with crypto-native features will bring significant advantages, as many small and medium-sized companies will benefit from improved fundraising mechanisms and achieve faster fund flows in a blockchain-based 24/7 market.


Whether this vision will materialize on TXSE or not, the boundary between DeFi and institutional finance is increasingly blurred every day, and the foundation for deep collaboration has already been laid.


The Three Index Forces Driving Financial Progress


As the crypto industry matures and becomes an essential part of the global economy, discussions about it still appear very preliminary. Society needs an updated mental model to more easily understand the complexity of the financial digital transformation we are undergoing.


“Crypto Confluence” provides such a framework, explaining in simple terms how traditional finance is experiencing an irreversible collision with at least three key index technologies—DeFi, AI, and social media—that will completely reshape the financial landscape in the next decade.


Crypto Confluence is driving a profound upgrade in the financial world, improving the operational aspects of financial services while expanding opportunities for individuals and institutions. Combined with the cultural factors mentioned above, these forces are creating a new paradigm, disrupting finance, and accelerating the evolution towards a more open, efficient, and decentralized system.


From this perspective, Crypto Confluence can be likened to the “manifest destiny” of the financial reform initiated in 2008. This grassroots movement, primarily driven by the Occupy Wall Street movement and the birth of Bitcoin, is reaching a turning point where the macro picture is starting to emerge.


In fact, U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis has directly described her proposed legislation—the U.S. Bitcoin Policy Reserve—as “our Louisiana Purchase moment,” a key event in realizing this manifest destiny.


In this metaphor, we can collectively envision the Oregon Territory, with the West Coast seen as a logical direction for development. The grander vision gradually becomes clear, and the dream of a more equitable financial system becomes increasingly hopeful over time.


Originating from a historic financial collapse, coupled with the arduous task of repairing systemic banking issues, holding banks accountable, and safeguarding ordinary people's funds, this movement has evolved into a potent force.


Similar to the forty-niners and brave entrepreneurs seeking wealth back then, it is the crypto "vanguard" forging new paths on the financial frontier. These risk-tolerant rebels are continuously blazing trails on the cutting edge of decentralized finance, paving the way with unvetted frontier technology for mainstream adoption.


DeFi is leading financial innovation by eliminating barriers and offering direct access to services such as lending, trading, and yield through parallel systems. Layer 2 solutions on Ethereum like Optimism and zkSync have significantly enhanced scalability, reduced transaction costs, and made DeFi more accessible. Scalable L1 platforms like Solana and Sushi are also increasing accessibility and creating robust use cases for retail investors.


Simultaneously, projects like MakerDAO and Ondo Finance are bringing real-world assets (RWA) such as real estate and government securities onto the blockchain, integrating traditional assets worth billions of dollars. BlackRock has leveraged its Ethereum-based BUIDL fund to tokenize government bond yields and openly stated plans to onboard trillions of dollars in assets onto the chain in the coming years.


Meanwhile, AI is transforming the financial markets through automation and personalization. Robo-advisors and AI agents are rapidly advancing, tailoring investment portfolios to individual financial goals. We are even beginning to see AI agents applied in decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) or Trusted Execution Environment (TEE) enclaves as a form of experimental decentralized venture organization.


AI-driven trading algorithms have been reshaping most markets, executing trades at speeds beyond human capabilities by analyzing vast datasets, including sentiment trends from social media. Additionally, AI-powered fraud detection systems are aiding financial institutions in real-time transaction monitoring, more effectively identifying fraudulent activities than ever before. The rapid evolution of Large Language Models (LLMs) and other AI cannot be underestimated.


Among all these converging driving forces, attention is as equally crucial as computing power, regulatory frameworks, or platform capabilities. Social media is evolving into an omnipresent, powerful "Swiss Army Knife" for savvy investors and traders to utilize.


Platforms like Reddit, Discord, and platform X are at the forefront of SocialFi, where communities organize around common investment opportunities, giving rise to meme stocks and the current MEME coins. Popular memes like PEPE and BONK are driving network liquidity, serving not only as financial tools but also as cultural assets fueling ecosystem growth. Although slower than expected, traditional finance is also moving toward digital asset management strategies, reaching retail investors.


Social media channels are also popularizing financial knowledge, promoting community-driven investment strategies, and engaging users in decentralized governance through tokens on platforms like Uniswap. Decentralized social platforms like WarpCast and Nostr are also gaining attention.


Clearly, these summaries only touch on some high-level examples. More importantly, these three exponentially growing technologies are increasingly overlapping, creating a powerful flywheel effect from their integration.


As described by Sam Altman in 2021, crypto provides a deterministic scarcity mechanism that balances the infinite abundance of artificial intelligence, offering constructive boundaries and constraints to the generative process. The decentralized power of crypto, combined with the democratizing force of social networks, will counteract the centralizing effects of AI. The emerging trend on Crypto Twitter today—a AI agent launching a MEME coin—is based on an intuitive understanding of these synergistic effects.


In this cycle, many will realize that the fusion of AI and blockchain is creating new automated and decentralized market opportunities. SocialFi will empower communities to explore these opportunities and drive the emergence of new investment modalities. AI will also continue to streamline DeFi processes and further enhance community participation on social platforms in the future.


Each domain reinforces the others, accelerating adoption and driving innovation, unleashing the tremendous effects of the accelerating returns rule. The synergy of these technologies unlocks a superset of tools and capabilities, shaping the interface that guides us into Web3.


This new paradigm empowers internet users to more effectively harness the power of network effects in an attention-driven digital economy. It aims to reclaim the internet from the monopolies of Web2, progressing toward decentralized, open platforms, which is a continuation of the internet's original vision. Web3 achieves this goal by allocating value to builders and key users at the protocol layer, rather than concentrating wealth and control in the hands of a few corporations.


Although existing power structures will continue to resist these changes, the combination of these technological and cultural forces is driving the financial industry towards a more inclusive, efficient, and innovative development. With the boundaries between traditional finance and crypto continuing to blur, we are witnessing firsthand the birth of a new financial infrastructure that will shape the future of currency and wealth.



Why Cryptocurrency Is the Unifying Engine of Change


While each of these exponential technologies is a core part of this transformation, cryptocurrency is the engine that makes the fusion with traditional finance possible.


This is because blockchain provides a decentralized infrastructure that ensures trustless transactions, data integrity, digital identity, and secure asset ownership across all these areas. As described by ARK Invest's CEO Cathie Wood, blockchain is adding a "financial layer" to the internet, a layer that should have always existed.


The fundamental principles of cryptocurrency—open source, permissionless, immutable, global, transparent, democratic, and censorship-resistant—ensure that new ideas can develop and scale without the friction of slow, centralized control of outdated traditional systems. The integration of blockchain networks built on these principles and the underlying mechanisms that make these ideas possible is the process of establishing a viable new internet financial layer.


Importantly, blockchain's cryptographic properties also provide a key mechanism for controlling AI's malicious activities. As early as 2017, Coinbase co-founder Fred Ehrsam stated, "Blockchain is the basis of AI life." This is because artificial intelligence is a code-based entity that can exist on the chain within smart contracts. "On the blockchain, there is no distinction between artificial intelligence and humans," observed Fred.


In a general sense, this appears to be true. The Cambrian explosion of new synthetic life forms is here, rapidly taking action in the real world by controlling resources through cryptocurrency tokens. The blockchain infrastructure can now not only support interoperability between AI and cryptocurrency but also enable broader collaboration between social networks and digital finance.


This new financial layer based on a blockchain network unlocks the potential of Web3, where the interoperability and interconnectedness of these emerging technologies can converge into rapid financial innovation. Of course, the inertia of existing market participants, legacy systems, and policymakers still exists. Bad actors have not disappeared. While we are at a critical juncture of financial transformation and many of the rough edges of cryptocurrency have abstracted, these issues continue to significantly hinder the integration potential of cryptocurrency.


The mainstream narrative has long viewed the speculative nature of cryptocurrency as reckless and unstable, sometimes even going as far as to label cryptocurrency as a scam. Filling a book with various negative comments from industry leaders about cryptocurrency over the past five years, such as calling it "rat poison," is not difficult.


Ironically, many leaders who once had such strong words have now completely transformed into staunch cryptocurrency advocates. However, as Federal Reserve official Kashkari openly stated this month: "Unless it's drugs or illegal activities, there's almost no transaction that occurs in cryptocurrency."


In fact, reality has never been as simple and binary as Kashkari and others believe. The facts emerging from the cryptocurrency frontier today are far more complex than the sensational headlines, financial nihilism, and overleveraged gambling have portrayed. Many of the innovations driving the digital transformation of finance actually heavily rely on the speculative nature of cryptocurrency.


This disruptive, countercultural force in society pushing boundaries and fostering accelerated patterns of technological innovation has been well documented in other industries. Notably, adult content has played a key role in the rapid development and adoption of many innovations that now form the foundation of today's media and entertainment industry. For example, streaming video, online privacy systems, mobile devices, and broadband internet.


Just as early Silicon Valley startup culture broke through through risk-taking, today, cryptocurrency's "casino culture" has become a high-risk testing ground for new financial tools, liquidity mechanisms, and governance models. Perhaps the most prominent example currently is that the cryptocurrency-based prediction market platform Polymarket is setting new standards for real-time sentiment analysis and mainstream political coverage.


Regardless of the stigma that cryptocurrency speculation continues to carry and the potential negative byproducts it may bring, the surprising fact is that speculation is the driving force behind advancement in many industries.


Unlike the popular perception that NFTs and memecoins are merely gambling on worthless trinkets, projects such as high-risk DeFi and SocialFi experiments have actually spurred technological progress. The speculative energy harnessed by the groundbreaking platform Pump.Fun, serving as a stress test and catalyst, has propelled the development of the Solana ecosystem.


Don't believe it? These speculative behaviors are indeed the force accelerating technological progress that will ultimately enter the mainstream financial realm.


In his widely watched "Token 2049 Memecoin Supercycle" keynote, Murad Mahmudov shared similar insights, stating that the cryptocurrency industry is "speculation first, technology later," and that tokens are the most important product. This principle neatly explains why memecoins, NFTs, and other speculative assets not only bring retail users into the crypto ecosystem but also drive breakthroughs in technology boundaries.


Smart money understands this, whether they are willing to openly acknowledge it or not. Why is nearly every blockchain vying for a premier cultural token? Because these speculative activities are at the forefront of creating a vibrant cultural space for cryptocurrency, where financial innovation is taking place. Just like early Boston neighborhoods or Montmartre in Paris, these virtual frontiers attract pioneers, builders, and innovators who thrive in these high-risk environments.


In fact, despite traditional financial institutions initially viewing cryptocurrency as a pile of speculative "toys," they are now rapidly beginning to integrate these technologies into their own systems. Venture capitalists and institutional investors are actively leveraging speculation to create liquidity, drive growth and adoption for their projects.


It is now difficult to deny that the rise of tokenized assets and blockchain financial products demonstrates how speculative markets are driving the evolution of global finance.


While blockchain infrastructure enables the realization of digital asset ownership and unlocks financial potential, speculative assets and trading are also catalyzing financial progress and reform. This is how cryptocurrency has forced institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity to adopt technologies that were once considered impractical or irrelevant, and advance bipartisan legislative agendas.


Some fringe industries, often overlooked or demonized by mainstream society, are actually key drivers of technological advancement. Just like the speculative cryptocurrency market, these industries incubate new ideas, drive rapid iteration, refine technology, until they can achieve mainstream adoption. This experimental and rapid iterative interaction is crucial for driving technological progress.


Although society is unwilling to acknowledge that the adult entertainment industry has propelled the media and entertainment forms we use today, blockchain innovation and speculative cryptocurrency markets are laying the groundwork for the future financial system. Just as Bitcoin and Ethereum were once considered valueless chatter, many technological advancements will continue to emerge in the forefront of cryptocurrency.


Once in a Lifetime Opportunity


The future of crypto integration is unpredictable, but we can assume it sits somewhere on a spectrum. At one end is a totalitarian nightmare, where cryptographic technology is co-opted by governments and financial institutions to expand central control in the world.


In this scenario, the U.S. government and regulatory bodies would impose strict measures on altcoins and decentralized platforms, only allowing approved networks like Bitcoin and Ethereum to exist under a highly regulated framework. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) would become tools to monitor every transaction, effectively dismantling financial privacy.


This vision echoes the worst elements of China's surveillance state, where innovation is tightly controlled, and individual sovereignty has become a distant memory.


On the other end of the spectrum is the liberal dream—a decentralized future where the U.S. embraces crypto innovation, creating an open financial environment based on self-custody and digital sovereignty. Here, the government actively supports progressive policies, bans CBDCs, and fosters a business environment similar to the early days of the internet.


In this version of the future, cryptocurrency fulfills its promise of financial freedom, empowering individuals and small businesses while shifting power away from traditional institutions. The ideals of the U.S. Constitution—privacy, autonomy, and freedom—are reaffirmed and entrenched in on-chain governance and protocol-level decisions.



However, the most likely outcome may lie somewhere between these extremes. In reality, most regulators and policymakers will not continue to exert full pressure to eliminate cryptocurrency. The game theory of Bitcoin adoption has officially begun, with nations, corporations, and financial institutions gradually realizing they can no longer sit on the sidelines and are starting to accumulate crypto assets.


The U.S. will struggle to find a balance between innovation and control. On one hand, the government acknowledges the necessity of maintaining competitiveness in the global digital economy; on the other hand, financial behemoths such as banks, asset management companies, and government institutions naturally want to maintain control over key financial infrastructure.


This blended middle-ground scenario may continue to be tumultuous until a new equilibrium is reached, a process that may take some time. Murad recently made a similar prediction, suggesting that things may get worse before they get better. In his theory, he likens this chaotic transition period to the unfortunate Weimar Republic in Germany.


During this time, we may see some decentralized elements, such as Bitcoin ETFs and blockchain-based settlement systems, gradually integrated into the mainstream financial system. However, these advancements are likely to coexist with regulatory demands that restrict DeFi and privacy coins, creating a state of disharmony.


This progressive middle ground poses many challenges but also brings new opportunities. Even under regulation, crypto projects will continue to drive innovation, finding niche markets within a broader ecosystem where decentralization can thrive. Technologies like zero-knowledge proofs, governance tokens, and dApps will help maintain the dream of financial sovereignty, even as institutions attempt to apply them to more traditional use cases.


Ultimately, the outcome of crypto integration depends on how policymakers, entrepreneurs, investors, and voters shape this transition. In this complex environment, those willing to strike a balance between caution and creativity will have the opportunity to influence the direction of the next generation's financial paradigm. In this future, cryptocurrency is neither fully controlled nor completely free—it becomes a battlefield of progress.


Currently, a revolution is being driven by exponential technology, breaking down old structures and potentially establishing a more inclusive, efficient, and community-driven system. As traditional finance increasingly integrates DeFi protocols, AI automation, and the SocialFi ecosystem, we are entering a new era of democratized financial power.


This era of cryptocurrency integration offers a rare opportunity to build an alternative financial system that serves not only the powerful but also individuals, leading to a more equitable future. However, this requires forward-looking strategies, courageous leadership, and widespread community engagement.


The concept of swapping out the financial engine mid-flight is not merely a metaphor—it reflects the reality that the global market must continue to operate during significant upgrades, highlighting the substantial amount of unfinished work and the high risks involved in this process. While a considerable number of traditional financial firms, policymakers, and long-standing service institutions have shown a positive attitude towards cryptocurrency, it is impossible to shut down the traditional financial system for "repairs." Therefore, many complex parts of our financial system must seamlessly absorb these innovations within the constraints of existing business cycles and practices.


This is precisely the conundrum and awkwardness of the current state of the cryptocurrency industry as an emerging sector, which is why this stage can be referred to as its "adolescent period." Despite experiencing many growing pains, this period is also a pivotal moment where key leadership motivations come into play.


The core issue is: can we collaborate to steer the future towards self-sovereignty, or will we further slide towards surveillance and control?


With the gradual shaping of crypto regulation, recent events have shown us these two possibilities. Efforts such as the "Anti-Monetary Surveillance State CBDC Act" indicate resistance to centralized digital currencies, reflecting concerns about financial privacy and government overreach. The bill has been gaining increasing support in Congress, showing that people wish to curb government-controlled financial surveillance.


Just this week, Pennsylvania became the latest state to pass a regulatory clarity bill for digital assets, known as the "Bitcoin Bill of Rights." The bill passed with strong bipartisan support, with 76 Democratic members and 100 Republican members voting in favor. These developments suggest that there is political will in the United States to resist a completely surveillance-oriented financial system if the pressure is sustained.


However, this is a delicate balance as traditional financial stakeholders, including large institutions and governments, continue to explore ways to control or regulate decentralized assets. As the US and other major countries navigate the crossroads of cryptocurrency integration, the challenge lies in whether we can harness the momentum of these forces to drive individual empowerment or will be swayed by the gravitational pull of surveillance infrastructure, defining the future of currency and finance.


Only time will tell whether we can redirect the course of history towards individual freedom and self-sovereignty, or if we will once again fall into the old path where security and convenience take precedence over ownership. Personally, I choose to be optimistic. There is a significant stake in the competition for financial system reform, with early adopters poised to control the creation of the next generation's wealth.


I agree with Murad's view that we will eventually reach another "Golden Age" (La Belle Époque), characterized by social stability, economic prosperity, and cultural flourishing, all driven by tremendous technological advancement. Even if it means we must endure some challenging times.


Over the next decade, the "index gap" in finance will largely be bridged, and the wave of cultural and technological innovation will ruthlessly disrupt our outdated financial norms. I believe that by 2034, most significant opportunities will have emerged, and the era of cryptocurrency integration will come to a close.


We will witness wealth transfer from the Baby Boomer generation to Millennials and Gen Z, witnessing the digitization of trillions of existing assets. More global currency supply will flow into top cryptocurrencies as people seek to break free from fiat currency systems that undermine their economic power. I foresee the gradual expansion of the crypto industry, ultimately integrating the entire economy and financial sector.


This means that just as digital news sources like X have made mainstream media their downstream, traditional financial institutions, if they do not evolve, will eventually become downstream of crypto platforms. Similarly, the innovations happening at the forefront of the crypto space today will ultimately shape the future direction of mainstream finance.


As the renowned venture capitalist and writer Chris Dixon has said, "What the smartest people do on the weekend, the rest will do during the week ten years later." Today, many geniuses with IQs of 200 spend their nights and weekends delving deep into the crypto space.


While frontier exploration is not for everyone, there are now many ways to passively and with lower risk participate in crypto. Whatever your role, those who recognize the potential of crypto and are willing to explore this frontier, where disruption, creativity, and commerce intersect, will be at the forefront of a global financial revolution.


Keeping up with this trend is not easy, but it could be life-changing.


We are just beginning to witness how AI, DeFi, and social media integration are creating viral financial phenomena, and along with this "Cambrian Explosion," there is new wealth creation. For those involved, the convergence of these forces and the digital transformation of traditional finance represent one of the most lucrative opportunities of our time.


DeFi has already been replacing traditional gatekeepers, allowing anyone with internet access to engage in lending and trading without intermediaries. AI is achieving higher levels of personalization and automation, simplifying financial processes and risk detection, while also opening up countless possibilities for innovative use cases of digital assets.


Social media networks and SocialFi platforms will also continue to redefine investment behaviors, community collaboration strategies, unite around the most attractive cultural memeplexes, and embrace a decentralized governance model.


Yes, economic incentives are indeed significant, but those who view "crypto convergence" merely as profit-driven are too narrow-minded—the core essence lies in a fundamental transformation, a transformation that can be traced back to the 2008 global financial crisis. Emerging from that crisis, the crypto movement has led us toward a financial paradigm that prioritizes transparency and inclusivity, relying on cryptographic proof to guard against the impacts of centralization.


The same institutions that once triggered that crisis are now gradually recognizing the power of this movement, understanding that these disruptive technologies represent an inevitable evolution rather than a passing trend. Furthermore, the rapid advancement of exponential innovation implies that the gap between traditional finance and the Web3 frontier will narrow more quickly than many anticipate.


Unlike traditional finance, many of the best opportunities in the crypto space are open to anyone willing to participate.


We can all obtain growth by seizing these opportunities and leveraging new financial technologies to establish ourselves in future markets. Crypto convergence offers a theoretical framework that can both identify emerging financial innovation areas and reveal emerging risks that need to be mitigated.


Those who choose to take action now—whether developers, investors, or entrepreneurs—will be able to take the lead in this new paradigm, and may even shape emerging systems at the foundational level.


Crypto convergence is not just an economic trend—it is a multidimensional transformative movement dedicated to reforming and reshaping the global financial apparatus. By decisively embracing this change and welcoming convergence rather than resisting it, we will all benefit from one of the most crucial opportunities of this era.


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