Blob Space Exhausted, Is Ethereum L2 Also on the Brink of Collapse?

Original Article Author: gauthamzzz, Co-Founder of PolynomialFI
Original Article Translation: zhouzhou, BlockBeats

Editor's Note: This article discusses the Blob space scarcity issue faced by Ethereum Layer 2 (L2). As the L2 chain grows, multiple L2s compete for limited Blob storage, leading to skyrocketing fees and increased user costs. Even with the Pectra upgrade increasing the Blob count to 6, the problem can only be temporarily alleviated but not fundamentally resolved. Solutions include short-term Pectra upgrades, mid-term PeerDAS implementation, and long-term DA scaling. However, it is still uncertain whether these solutions can be implemented in a timely manner.

Below is the original article content (reorganized for better readability):

Ethereum L2 is about to face a bottleneck. Currently, 55% of all Blob space has been consumed by just two chains, and at the current growth rate, we are only a few months away from a complete collapse.

The following is what is happening

First, let's understand what is collapsing: Blobs = L2's special storage Current limit = 3 Blobs per block Reality = dozens of L2s vying for these 3 spots. It's like a highway with only 3 lanes, and 50 evolving cities are fighting for these lanes.

Day-to-day data clearly shows a problem, Blob fee spikes:

• During transaction times

• During airdrops

• When new L2 launches operations

Each spike = higher user cost

Even the Pectra upgrade (increasing Blob count to 6) cannot save us. At the current growth rate, we will reach maximum capacity in May 2025. And that's assuming no change in growth. (Sidenote: Growth won't stay the same—it's accelerating).

The Real Challenge

Issue: L2 Competing for Limited Blob Space

Approach: Increased Demand → Base Fee Rise

Reason: Each Transaction Requires Blob Space

Any L2 optimization cannot solve this fundamental bottleneck.

Core developers know this is a key issue. Vitalik Buterin said increasing the Blob count from 3 to 6 is more important than all other Pectra upgrades combined. But doubling the capacity will only give us a few more months, not years.

Solutions Under Research

Short Term: Double Blob Space (Pectra)

Mid Term: PeerDAS Implementation

Long Term: Advanced DA Expansion

But will they arrive before we hit the bottleneck? This issue is affecting everyone:

• DEX transaction costs are rising

• Perpetual protocols face skyrocketing base fees

• Users are paying more for basic transaction fees

At PolynomialFi, our base fees have increased by 300% in recent months.

A Glimmer of Hope?

This crisis has emerged because people are truly starting to use Ethereum L2. But if we don't address it soon, users may look elsewhere.

Summary

• Blob space is nearing its limit

• Next crisis expected within 6 months

• Urgent need for scaling solutions

• Every L2 user is impacted

If you want Ethereum to scale, this is the battle to watch.

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