Original Article Title: "Eve of the Storm? Bitcoin Sees 'Doji' Candlestick, Tug of War Between Bulls and Bears Continues"

Original Source: BitpushNews

In recent days, the market has been in a tug of war, with BTC bulls and bears repeatedly fighting between $100,000 and $96,000. There has been a significant pullback over the past week, with the price briefly dropping below the $91,000 support level. From the volatility, it is evident that investors' anxiety about the short-term trend is escalating.

Hodler Behavior and Market Signals

On February 9, renowned analyst Maartunn shared a set of on-chain data: 14,000 coins of 7 to 10 years of age were moved on-chain.

This reactivation of long-held bitcoins back into circulation is usually seen as a significant signal. These movements may indicate various motives—long-term holders preparing for a potential uptrend, institutions readjusting their positions, or market participants being concerned about sustained selling pressure. In any case, the reactivation of such a large amount of old bitcoins usually foreshadows imminent significant price fluctuations. Although such actions are not uncommon during market consolidation periods, they add more uncertainty to the current market sentiment.

Additionally, analyst DOM identified an unprecedented "Doji" candlestick pattern on Bitcoin's daily chart. This pattern typically signifies market uncertainty, similar to the trend following the FTX crash in November 2022.

DOM stated: "For the first time in Bitcoin's 15-year history, we have seen a series of three consecutive 'extreme Doji' candlesticks, with each candle's body accounting for less than 0.05% of the entire candle range. This indicates extreme market indecision, signaling an imminent sharp volatility."

It is worth noting that in November 2022, Bitcoin experienced two consecutive "extreme Doji" candlesticks, followed by a 620% price rebound. If history repeats itself, Bitcoin may be on the verge of another round of explosive price movement.

Key Price Levels and Technical Analysis

TradingView data shows that Bitcoin's current price is hovering around $97,600. Analyst Sebastian believes that to reignite the bullish momentum, Bitcoin first needs to firmly hold the key level of $98,000. This will lay the foundation for breaking through the psychological barrier of $100,000. Once Bitcoin successfully breaks and holds above the $100,000 mark, it will confirm the strong return of bullish momentum and is expected to further explore higher supply ranges, initiating a new uptrend.

However, the current demand zone between $96,000 and $97,000 must be held to provide support for a potential uptrend. If this range is breached, it could trigger more selling pressure. In this scenario, Bitcoin may drop below $95,000, further down to a demand zone near $90,000. Such a move would significantly impact market sentiment and further strengthen bearish expectations.

Bitcoin has recently formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, which usually suggests that a price breakout is imminent.

Market analyst Titan of Crypto points out that the Bitcoin price is poised to break above the triangle's upper trendline, eventually reaching a target of $116,000. According to technical analysis rules, the upside target is calculated by adding the maximum distance between the triangle's upper and lower trendlines to the potential breakout point, providing a theoretical basis for Bitcoin's upside target.

Price Outlook

Grayscale's Head of Research, Zach Pandl, predicts that with favorable policies under the Trump administration, Bitcoin could hit a new all-time high in the first quarter of 2025. However, in the short term, $80,000 remains a popular target for many analysts. Investment research firm Bravo Research notes that if the price retreats to this level, it would offer traders a "buy the dip" opportunity.

In conclusion, Bitcoin is currently at a critical technical juncture, where the balance of power between bulls and bears will determine the short-term market direction. Investors need to closely monitor the performance of the key levels at $98,000 and $96,000, as a breakout by either side could trigger significant market volatility.

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