This interview with Mike Harris explores the strategies and challenges of the Quest Hedge Fund, from CTA trend-following and AI trading models to the overcrowded quant equity space. We also dive into statistical arbitrage, multi-strat funds, the macro outlook, and the advantages & risks of using AI.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:20) Mike Harris Background As a Quant
(03:07) Quest Hedge Fund
(04:30) CTA Trend Following Strategy
(11:50) Trend Following Examples
(16:47) Permissionless Ad
(17:44) Interview Continues
(19:33) Quant Equity Trading Getting Crowded
(22:52) Statistical Arbitrage
(27:17) Risks to Statistical Arbitrage
(32:11) Multi-Strat Hedge Funds
(33:32) Lack of New Fund Launches
(39:04) Sharpe Ratio In Strategies
(41:34) Private Market Investing
(48:29) Volatility Strategies
(54:17) Macro And Stock Market Outlook
(01:02:26) Risks To Quest
(01:06:02) Risks To Training Models With AI
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets
This interview with Eric Fine & Natalia Gurushina delves into the potential of emerging markets, how they are affected by developed market weakness, and contrasting central bank strategies. We also discuss investing in China, emerging market reserve strategies, and de-dollarization. This interview is paid sponsorship on behalf of the VanEck corporation. Recorded on August 7, 2024.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:40) How Eric Got Interested In Emerging Markets
(03:38) Natalia's Introduction To Economics
(05:55) How Big Is The EM Bond Market?
(11:07) Why EM Bonds Have Outperformed
(14:40) Weakness From Developed Markets
(17:35) The Yen's Impact On EMs
(26:24) BOJ Vs Brazilian Central Bank
(29:16) Mexico's Fiscal Orthodoxy
(30:58) Benefits Of Floating Currencies
(34:32) Making Money In EM FX
(36:53) Signal For EMs To Cut Rates
(38:38) Role Of Hedge Funds In EM FX
(41:25) Diversification In EMs
(46:24) Sub-Saharan Africa
(51:48) Importance Of India
(59:40) Investing In China
(01:04:49) China's Growth Model
(01:17:10) Emerging Market Reserves
(01:25:01) De-Dollarization
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets