In this episode, Jurrien Timmer joins the show to discuss where we are in the current bull market, the push & pull between earnings and valuations, and the various influences on interest rates. We also delve into when the US debt level becomes a real problem, monetary hedges, and much more. Enjoy!
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Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:14) Where Are We in the Bull Market?
(04:22) Is this Bull Market Unique?
(07:07) Economic Resilience to Short Rates
(09:12) Quantitative Tightening & Liquidity
(12:39) Election Impact on Markets
(15:54) Unpacking the Move in Yields
(22:20) Outlook for Risk Assets
(26:39) Earnings vs Valuation
(34:52) Ledger Ad
(35:37) Did We Achieve A Soft Landing?
(37:32) Inflation Reacceleration Risk
(42:02) Gold, Bitcoin & Monetary Hedges
(45:40) Path To Negative Real Rates
(49:07) When Does The US Level Debt Actually Matter?
(56:42) Learn More About Jurrien
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
This week we discuss the latest NFP report, the Treasury's Quarterly Refunding Announcement, and whether the Trump trade is unwinding. We also delve into the moves in yields, MicroStrategy, and much more. Enjoy!
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Z6tgjtMhnVnGc9PLqwxAMd3TB2Gmx0Qu/view?usp=sharing
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Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology.
Buy now on Ledger.com.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:47) NFP Report Takeaways
(14:50) Quant Corner
(24:31) Ledger Ad
(25:16) Is The Trump Trade Unwinding?
(37:31) QRA
(48:16) Microstrategy: The Big Long
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.