This week, we discuss the latest inflation data, the reversal of US exceptionalism, and Trump’s bold tariff bet potentially backfiring. We also delve into how we’re thinking about yields, whether 60/40 is compelling right now, why we’re in a crypto bear market, and more. Enjoy!
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Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE FG10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:42) Upcoming Digital Asset Summit
(02:16) CPI Takeaways
(05:51) Reversal of US Exceptionalism
(08:45) Ledger Ad
(09:34) Recession vs Growth Scare
(14:11) Trump's Bold Tariff Game
(20:09) The Long Foreign Markets-Short US Trade
(24:36) Ledger Ad
(25:21) The Long Foreign Markets-Short US Trade (Con't)
(31:11) It's a Bear Market
(32:36) Bitcoin and Crypto Market Analysis
(34:26) Bond Market & Yields
(39:11) 60/40 Portfolio
(42:34) Hedging Strategies
(45:08) Crypto Market Prospects
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
In this episode, Matt Hougan joins the show to discuss his bullish 2025 outlook for Bitcoin, why the US government needs stablecoins, and what’s next for the broader crypto industry. We also delve into how bullish institutions are compared to retail, Bitcoin's correlation to gold, and more. Enjoy!
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Follow Matt: https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:50) Macro & Crypto
(04:38) Global Fiscal Impulse
(06:18) The US Needs Stablecoins
(09:30) US Embrace of Bitcoin
(12:54) What’s Next for the Industry
(15:17) Institutions are Bullish!
(16:40) Fragmentation of ETF vs On-chain Assets
(20:28) Bitcoin’s Correlation to Gold
(21:38) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.