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In this episode, Mel Mattison joins the show to discuss why he thinks we’re on the cusp of another inflationary bubble, the danger of growing entitlement obligations, and what more yield curve distortions mean for markets. We also delve into how gold could be on track for $50,000/oz, how all this will impact the FX market, and more. Enjoy!
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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
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At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.
Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:35) Mel’s Spot-on Market Predictions
(06:30) Macro Drivers of the Market Downturn
(09:04) Treasury Data and Fiscal Impulse
(13:36) Ondo Ad
(14:01) Treasury Data and Fiscal Impulse (Con't)
(15:39) The Anti-Dollar Trade
(23:28) Social Security and Long-Term Economic Outlook
(28:47) Trump Admin’s Grand Agenda
(34:37) Federal Reserve and Inflation
(35:54) Ondo Ad
(36:24) Bond Market and Yield Curve Distortion
(39:32) Yield Curve Distortions & Inflation
(52:52) Currencies and Emerging Markets
(57:57) Gold & Bitcoin
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
In this episode, Arty & Gamma from the Market Radar team join the show to discuss their macro models and the importance of systematic trading, how they’re thinking about global markets today, and how deficits and tariffs are complicating the Fed’s cutting plans. We also delve into lessons for discretionary traders, what Market Radar wants to see to turn risk-on, and more. Enjoy!
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Follow Market Radar: https://x.com/themarketradar
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx
—
Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
__
At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.
Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/
Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:34) Market Radar Models
(04:12) Systematic vs Discretionary Macro
(07:23) Market Radar Systematic Approach
(14:31) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)
(15:42) Lessons for Discretionary Traders
(20:58) Weaknesses of Systematic Macro
(24:06) Argument Against Shorting
(27:57) Current Market Outlook
(34:13) Current Market Outlook (Con't)
(34:22) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)
(37:00) The Fed & Deficits
(46:42) Conditions to Turn Risk-On
(49:07) Catching Tops & Bottoms
(52:09) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
