「Election = Inauguration?」, the probability gap between Trump's election and inauguration on Polymarket is 1%

BlockBeats News, November 5th, the probability of "2024 Presidential Election Winner" being Trump on the Polymarket platform has risen to 61.2%, while Harris's odds of winning the election have dropped to 38.8%. Trump is now leading Harris by over 22.4 percentage points.

It is worth noting that the prediction market rules for "2024 Presidential Election Winner" are: "This prediction market will settle when the Associated Press, Fox, and NBC all call the election for the same candidate. In the event this does not occur, the market will remain open and settle based on the Inauguration Day on January 20 next year."

Additionally, there is also a "Who will be inaugurated as President?" prediction market on the Polymarket platform, with a trading volume of 3.12 million USD. It will settle based on the Inauguration Day on January 20 next year. In this market, Trump has a 60.2% chance of winning (1% lower than the election winner prediction market), Harris has a 37.4% chance of winning, and a 2.8% probability is designated as "Other."