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This week, Tony Greer and Jared Dillian from Macro Dirt join the roundup to discuss the fallout of Trump’s tariffs, what markets we’re eyeing during this meltdown, and how to manage risk as a trader. We also delve into commodities, tax cuts, Bitcoin’s resilience, and more. Enjoy!
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Follow Tony: https://x.com/TgMacro
Follow Jared: https://x.com/dailydirtnap
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
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Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
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Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125
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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:08) Forward Guidance x Macro Dirt
(01:32) Unpacking Trump’s Tariffs & Market Reaction
(09:56) Commodity Markets
(15:04) Federal Reserve and Economic Data
(24:27) Market Volatility and Bear Market Rallies
(25:57) Risk Management Strategies for Traders
(30:00) Gold Miners and Commodity Markets
(33:25) Tax Cuts and Tariff Implications
(37:43) Bitcoin's Resilience
(42:53) Bond Price Action
(44:53) Weekend Plans
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
In this episode, Darius Dale of 42Macro joins the show to discuss Trump transitioning the US economy to a new paradigm, the potential for a recession and its impact on markets, and the threat of a debt refinancing air pocket. We also delve into why the Fed needs to transition to QE, how to approach portfolio allocation and risk management, and more. Enjoy!
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Follow Darius: https://x.com/DariusDale42
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx
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Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
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At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.
Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:06) Key Market Narratives
(04:03) Trump's Economic Vision
(13:28) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)
(14:39) Trump's Economic Vision (Con't)
(16:02) Technical vs. Actual Recession
(20:02) Credit Cycle and Market Positioning
(25:13) Market Pricing for Recession
(30:15) Fiscal Policy and Tax Cuts
(32:39) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)
(33:54) Federal Reserve's Mandates and QE
(37:26) Global Liquidity and Debt Refinancing
(43:50) Portfolio Construction and Risk Management
(47:34) KISS Portfolio System
(52:29) Managing Different Opinions & Systematic Investing
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
